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    February 13, 20263 min readBy Chris Avery

    Why ROAS Is Lying to You: The Case for Contribution Margin Bidding

    POASCommercialmarginsGoogle Ads Strategybidding
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    The ROAS Deception

    Every ecommerce brand tracks ROAS. It is the universal language of paid advertising. And it is systematically misleading you.

    The Fundamental Problem

    ROAS measures revenue per pound of ad spend. It does not measure profit. This distinction is not academic — it is the difference between growing profitably and growing broke.

    Consider two products:

    ProductRevenueCOGSMarginAd SpendROAS
    Product A£100£40£60£254.0x
    Product B£100£85£15£254.0x

    Same ROAS. Radically different commercial outcomes. Product A generates £35 contribution after ad spend. Product B generates -£10. You lost money on every sale of Product B.

    Why Smart Bidding Amplifies the Problem

    When you give Google a tROAS target of 4.0x, it treats Product A and Product B identically. It will happily spend £25 to sell either one. The algorithm has no concept of margin — it optimises for revenue.

    Smart Bidding is not smart about your business. It is smart about achieving the target you give it. If the target is wrong, the optimisation is perfect — perfectly destructive.

    Contribution Margin Bidding: How It Works

    Contribution margin bidding replaces revenue-based targets with profit-based targets:

    1. Inject COGS into your product feed via custom labels or supplemental feeds
    2. Segment products by margin band (e.g., >50%, 30-50%, 15-30%, <15%)
    3. Set POAS targets per segment that reflect the actual profit each band can support
    4. Exclude or cap spend on margin-negative products — no amount of volume makes a loss-maker profitable

    The Results We See

    Across our client portfolio, switching from ROAS to contribution margin bidding typically delivers:

    • 15-40% improvement in contribution margin within 60 days
    • 10-25% reduction in wasted spend on low-margin products
    • Stable or improved revenue — you are not sacrificing growth, you are removing waste

    Implementation Checklist

    1. Export your full product catalogue with landed COGS
    2. Calculate contribution margin per SKU (revenue minus COGS, shipping, returns)
    3. Create margin band custom labels in your feed
    4. Restructure campaigns by margin band
    5. Set margin-appropriate POAS targets per campaign
    6. Review weekly for the first 30 days, then monthly

    The Strategic Imperative

    Every month you run on ROAS alone, you are funding Google's revenue targets, not yours. Contribution margin bidding is not a nice-to-have optimisation — it is the minimum viable standard for commercially honest ecommerce advertising.

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